Wictor’s rationale for this statement, laid out in a 25-tweet thread, relies heavily on the statistics about the strength of US armed forces in Qatar and Djibouti—I will not attempt to sum it up, so read it for yourself—but he concludes:

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In the spirit of constructive dialogue with people of different political persuasions, I would like to formally state that I am taking bets from Thomas Wictor or others who would like to wager that we will have “Republican supermajorities in both house of Congress” after the 2018 midterm elections. Please contact me to let me know how much you would like to bet. We will show that we can indeed have a peaceful transfer of power in this country, by one side losing all of their money to the other.